Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	194 km/h	0.3 m	225 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	5,419,129	+
	India	5,392,950
	Maldives	26,179

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	1307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Jambura, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Jambura	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Tuna	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Mundra	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Suthri	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Sika	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Jhankhar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Gorser	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Navinal	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 03:45	Porbandar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 03:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Lamba	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Miyani	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 05:45	Bhadia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 04:15	Wadgam	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 04:15	Kambhat	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 04:15	Kavi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Okha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:30	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:30	Uran	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:30	Trombay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:30	Diva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:30	Taloje	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Kodinar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:45	Mahuva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Asarsa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Malad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Boisar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Murud	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kotada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Harinagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:45	Mandve	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Ghogha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Damka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Surat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Mahuver	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Dahej	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Tankari	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:30	Muler	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:45	Alibag	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:45	Malyan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:30	Hansot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:45	Bhagva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 03:15	Gholvad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 03:15	Bordi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:30	Umbargam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:30	Maroli	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Daman	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Udvada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Bankot	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Kelshi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:30	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Gokarn	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Kumta	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Ankola	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Manki	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Boria	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Guhagar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Purangad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Purnagad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:30	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 04:30	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.