Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (10 Jul 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.6 m 117 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico227 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 201 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Jul 2020 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.6
10 Jul 2020 12:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 12:00 La Choya Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 12:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Maudlowe United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Tivoli United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Austwell United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Green Lake United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 North Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Long Mott United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Molino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 17:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 17:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 17:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Copala Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 18:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 12:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Surfside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Mims United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Rincon United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Shepards United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Punta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Faria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Dulah United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Ventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Chagues Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Mission United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Montecito United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Summerland United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Coyote Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Goleta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Joluta Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 El Real Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Apisa Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 13:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link