Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21
in Oman

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Afghanistan, Iran, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (26 Sep 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 253 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.8 m 399 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAfghanistan, Iran, India363,766
+
Afghanistan77,728 
Iran285,958 
India79 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Sep 2021 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Sep 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Sep 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Sep 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Sep 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Sep 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Sep 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Sep 2021 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Afghanistan, Iran, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia3,729,975 
100-250 mmBangladesh, Myanmar, India77,485,629
+
India73,095,887 
Bangladesh95,962 
Myanmar4,293,778 
50-100 mmNepal, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand123,502,331
+
Nepal4,354,361 
India81,647,700 
Bangladesh27,314,040 
Myanmar10,076,520 
Thailand109,709 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Sep 2021 06:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Sep 2021 12:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Sep 2021 18:00 98 -
- - - - - Myanmar
Blue 4 25 Sep 2021 00:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Sep 2021 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Sep 2021 12:00 161 -
- - - - - Thailand
Blue 7 25 Sep 2021 18:00 139 3 thousand
- - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 8 26 Sep 2021 00:00 446 81.2 million
- - - Nepal, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bideipur, India. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Bideipur India  0.3
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.3
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Hukitala India  0.3
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Satabhaya India  0.3
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.3
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Rasalpur India  0.3
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Chandipur India  0.3
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Al Marfa United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:30 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 03:15 Al 'Arish Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Safwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Jabal al Qawm Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Al Qatif Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Kukuri Mukuri Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Ar Kalmi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Aicha Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Char Paila Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Budayyi Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Ad Diraz Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Barbar Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Karranah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Salmbad Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Seef Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 'Isa Town Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Ar Rifa Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Juffayr Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Muharraq Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Sitrah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Busaytin Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 'Arad Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Qalali Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Hidd Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Manfadh al Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ras all Khafji Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 03:45 Dublat India  0.2
26 Sep 2021 03:45 Bijavbati India  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Al Mish ab Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 As Saffaniyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Golbania Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Bagala Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Debpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Bhaylabania Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Chalitabunia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Hare Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Neta Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Chhota Baisdia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Andar Char Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Burirchar Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Manika Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Abu az Zuluf Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Madinat ash Shamal Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Al Ghariyah Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 02:30 'Ayn Sinan Qatar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Char Chapli Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Digha India  0.2
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Ramnagar India  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Budin Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Hijla Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:15 Baga Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:15 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Supati Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Charparbati Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:00 Char Kalidas Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Jimeirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Dubai United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:45 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:45 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ash Shariqah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ajman United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Thechaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Medaw Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Tawbya Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:45 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:45 Awebindat Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Darein Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Arzeni Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:30 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:30 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Umm al Qaywayn United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:00 Dubla Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Qeshm Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 05:45 Paung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:15 New Kandla India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:15 Pahel Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:15 Laft Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Tanzon Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:30 Sadeinchaungoya Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:15 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Thegondan Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Thaunggon Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kyauktan Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Mibya Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kala-ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ase-ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 01:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kambhat India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Kavi India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Sarod India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Jatar Deul India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Nuliasahi India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:45 Nuagan India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Wadgam India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:15 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:15 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 03:15 Hpayagon Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:45 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 02:45 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:30 Bukha Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2021 06:00 Gangra India  0.1
26 Sep 2021 00:30 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Al Khasab Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Kumza Oman  0.1
26 Sep 2021 04:00 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1