Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
28 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (28 Jan 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.7 m 96 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar3,311,535
+
Malawi2,446,522 
Tanzania185,368 
Zambia311,911 
Mozambique254,437 
Madagascar113,295 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 378 -
- - - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 28 Jan 2022 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Voloina Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Manambia Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Benjana Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Rantabe Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 10:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 09:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 09:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 11:45 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 09:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Androlavy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 10:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 10:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Onara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:30 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:30 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:30 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:15 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:15 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:45 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:45 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 07:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:30 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 08:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 06:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 09:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Jo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 10:45 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1