Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (30 Jan 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 169 km/h 1.2 m 167 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion984,015
+
Mauritius881,244 
Reunion102,770 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmReunion28,946 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 426 -
- - - - - Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Voloina Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Manambia Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Benjana Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Rantabe Madagascar  1.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Tampolo Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.4
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.4
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Beira Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Manica Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 16:15 Tama Mozambique  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:30 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:30 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Marere Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:45 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:30 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Le Port Reunion  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 La Possession Reunion  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
30 Jan 2022 12:45 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 13:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 16:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:45 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:15 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 17:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 14:15 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 18:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1