Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
04 Feb 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Madagascar, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (04 Feb 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 151 km/h 0.8 m 140 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar, Reunion1,359,274
+
Madagascar991,239 
Reunion368,034 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius
GREEN 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 198 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 205 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 216 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 30 03 Feb 2022 06:00 184 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
GREEN 31 03 Feb 2022 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Reunion
GREEN 32 03 Feb 2022 18:00 158 -
- - - - - Reunion
GREEN 33 04 Feb 2022 00:00 176 -
- - - - - Madagascar, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 5.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMadagascar2,388,405 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Reunion2,732,694
+
Madagascar2,601,566 
Reunion131,128 
50-100 mmComoros, Mozambique, Madagascar, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Reunion5,810,330
+
Comoros375,834 
Mozambique1,195,487 
Madagascar3,852,841 
Malawi60,383 
Zimbabwe1,144 
Reunion324,638 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 01 Feb 2022 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 01 Feb 2022 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 02 Feb 2022 00:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 02 Feb 2022 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 02 Feb 2022 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 02 Feb 2022 18:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 03 Feb 2022 00:00 236 -
- - - - - Reunion
Blue 30 03 Feb 2022 06:00 225 10 thousand
- - - - Reunion
Blue 31 03 Feb 2022 12:00 214 -
- - - - - Reunion
Blue 32 03 Feb 2022 18:00 155 -
- - - - - Reunion
Blue 33 04 Feb 2022 00:00 464 5.1 million
- - - Comoros, Mozambique, Madagascar, Malawi, Zimbabwe, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 04 Feb 2022 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Feb 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.8
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.6
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.6
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.5
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.3
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Tampina Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Beira Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Le Port Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 La Possession Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Antanambao Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Vohemar Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Marosiky Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 02:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 02:45 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Vavony Madagascar  0.2
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:45 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:15 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 02:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Manambondro Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 02:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 02:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
04 Feb 2022 06:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 02:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 04:15 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 03:00 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Savana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:45 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 02:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 04:00 Anakitaina Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:45 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:45 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:45 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
04 Feb 2022 01:45 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
04 Feb 2022 00:30 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1