Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 187 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (31 Jan 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 187 km/h 0.9 m 286 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,328,421
+
Mauritius1,013,494 
Reunion314,927 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 194 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion5,142 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Reunion748,917
+
Malawi327,158 
Tanzania124,616 
Zambia81 
Mozambique23,370 
Reunion273,691 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 553 5 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mozambique, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Beira Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:45 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:45 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 07:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:30 Tama Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 10:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 08:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 08:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:30 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:30 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Arire Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:15 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:45 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Antotoro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampohana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:30 Jo Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:30 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 09:30 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 07:30 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 11:30 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 10:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1