Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
01 Feb 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (01 Feb 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 1.1 m 103 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

Up to 1.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,366,671
+
Mauritius919,620 
Reunion447,051 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion458,842 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion, Madagascar2,262,960
+
Malawi474,236 
Tanzania200,897 
Zambia840 
Mauritius1,210,216 
Reunion372,625 
Madagascar4,143 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Jan 2022 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 01 Feb 2022 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 01 Feb 2022 06:00 609 460 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Reunion, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2022 11:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Voloina Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Manambia Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Benjana Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.9
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.8
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.7
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.4
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Manica Mozambique  0.3
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Le Port Reunion  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 La Possession Reunion  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Vavony Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Masondrono Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 06:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:45 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:30 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:15 Maheboug Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Tama Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:45 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Amado Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 08:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 11:45 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:45 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Onara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 09:30 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:15 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 07:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 10:30 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Foque Mozambique  0.1
01 Feb 2022 06:45 Pangane Mozambique  0.1