Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
30 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (30 Jan 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 144 km/h 1.0 m 121 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius848,499 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 166 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia3,029,884
+
Tanzania31,834 
Mozambique297,858 
Malawi2,684,368 
Zambia15,823 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 409 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Mozambique, Malawi, Zambia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2022 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Voloina Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Manambia Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Benjana Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.9
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.8
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.7
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.5
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 03:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 04:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ampaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ambinany Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Antalaha Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 03:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Marosiky Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 01:30 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:30 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 05:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:45 Lokia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 05:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Tama Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 03:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
30 Jan 2022 04:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:15 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:15 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:45 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 06:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:45 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 02:30 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
30 Jan 2022 01:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1