Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 155 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (31 Jan 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 155 km/h 1.1 m 305 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,208,786
+
Mauritius912,425 
Reunion296,361 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion15,276 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion1,079,468
+
Malawi398,460 
Tanzania159,486 
Mozambique15,697 
Zambia267,453 
Madagascar11,981 
Mauritius13,512 
Reunion212,875 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 528 20 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Zambia, Madagascar, Mauritius, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Voloina Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Manambia Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Benjana Madagascar  1.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Rantabe Madagascar  1.0
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Tampolo Madagascar  1.0
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 02:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Manica Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:45 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:45 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 00:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:45 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 02:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 04:15 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:15 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:30 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:30 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:00 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 04:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 06:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 03:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 01:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1