Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (28 Jan 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.9 m 82 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmTanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Madagascar2,222,672
+
Tanzania103,472 
Malawi2,035,561 
Zambia46,172 
Madagascar37,467 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 393 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Malawi, Zambia, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 28 Jan 2022 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Rantabe Madagascar  0.9
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.8
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.8
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Mandrony Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Anompaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Andamoty Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Maromandia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampara Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Manica Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 16:15 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 16:15 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 16:15 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Onara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Gueima Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Jacob Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Andranira Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Mandrorohabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 13:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Antotoro Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ampohana Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
28 Jan 2022 16:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:15 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:15 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Beula Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Chicoque Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:45 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 13:30 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Induna Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:30 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Ambodizaotra Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 17:45 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Siane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:45 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:45 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Irodo Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:30 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 16:15 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Camo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Inhambane Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Guilande Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Banga Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Guinjala Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 18:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 12:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Farafangana Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 15:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
28 Jan 2022 14:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1