Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
31 Jan 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius, Reunion
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 173 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (31 Jan 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 173 km/h 0.9 m 312 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius, Reunion1,208,277
+
Mauritius918,604 
Reunion289,673 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 187 -
- - - - - Mauritius, Reunion
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion44,109 
50-100 mmMalawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Madagascar, Reunion514,950
+
Malawi18,064 
Tanzania133,530 
Mozambique21,130 
Madagascar4,576 
Reunion337,648 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 Jan 2022 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 30 Jan 2022 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 30 Jan 2022 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 30 Jan 2022 18:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 31 Jan 2022 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 31 Jan 2022 06:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 31 Jan 2022 12:00 653 40 thousand
- - - - Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique, Madagascar, Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 31 Jan 2022 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.9
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Fananehana Madagascar  0.8
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.7
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.6
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.5
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 17:00 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
31 Jan 2022 17:00 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
31 Jan 2022 17:00 Manica Mozambique  0.3
31 Jan 2022 17:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:45 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:45 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:45 Beira Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 16:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 16:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 15:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:15 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
31 Jan 2022 13:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampondra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Amboanio Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:15 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Ampaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Ambinany Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Antalaha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:45 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Antanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Vohemar Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Andringahely Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 13:00 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:30 Masondrono Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:45 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 14:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:45 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:45 Itenina Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 17:30 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:00 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Moraharivo Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 15:30 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:30 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Sambava Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 16:15 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.1
31 Jan 2022 12:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1