Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

31 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (02 Nov 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	86 km/h	0.6 m	592 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 170 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	172,063

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,276
50-100 mm	India, Ethiopia	105,932	+
	India	102,870
	Ethiopia	3,062

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	590	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	665	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	232	1 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Ethiopia, Somalia
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	332	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
15	31 Oct 2019 00:00	801	1 thousand		-		-	-	-	India, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Wadgam	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Kambhat	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Kavi	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Asarsa	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Harinagar	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Dahej	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Tankari	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Muler	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Hansot	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Ghogha	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Bhagva	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Damka	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Surat	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Jalalpur	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Mahuver	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Kotada	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Mahuva	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Asumumbay	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Uran	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Trombay	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Diva	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Taloje	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Daman	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Udvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Maroli	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Rohisa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Umbargam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Bordi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Gholvad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Malyan	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Tarapur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Delvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Boisar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Palghar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Agashi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Dongri	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Vasai	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Malad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Kodinar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Mumbai	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Veraval	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Somnath	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mandve	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:30	Shil	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Murud	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Gorser	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 23:15	Ratia	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Bankot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Kelshi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Porbandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Boria	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:30	Gokarn	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:30	Honavar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Terekhol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Majali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Mavalli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:45	Shirali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:00	Adiura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 12:30	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 12:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Pural	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 01:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Chervattur	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Madayipara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 08:30	Bekal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Kumbla	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Dwarka	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Ponnani	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Edakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Mahe	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Gadechi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 03:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Cannanore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 01:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 22:30	Okha	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 22:30	Aramda	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Boosaaso	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Marero	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Payyoli	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Baarbacadle	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Eyl	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Daga Laha Uein	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:15	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:30	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:00	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:30	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 23:45	Mandvi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:45	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:45	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Maydh	Somalia	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Qandala	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Botiala	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Abo	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:00	Caluula	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Al Haibala	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	'Ain Ba Ma'bad	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	'Ain al-Juwairi	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Cal Marthal	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Anteral	Somalia	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Navinal	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Jambura	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Cadayo	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Khormaksar	Yemen	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.