Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	202 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	202 km/h	0.3 m	263 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	2,495

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	205	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Maldives	26,179
50-100 mm	India	3,383,098

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	1640	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Suthri	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Okha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Sika	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Ratia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Murud	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Uran	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Trombay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Diva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Taloje	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Agashi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Dongri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Vasai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Palghar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Mahim	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Wadgam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Malad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:00	Boisar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Mumbai	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Srivardhan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Baarbacadle	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Mahuva	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Dahej	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Harinagar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Hansot	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Revadanda	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Tarapur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Bandarbeyla	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Kotada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Alibag	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Eyl	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Malyan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Cadayo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:00	Gholvad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Daman	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Udvada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Bankot	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Kelshi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Mandve	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:15	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Kundapura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Bordi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Umbargam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Maroli	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:00	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Damka	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:15	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Terekhol	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Chopdem	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Anjuna	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:45	Panaji	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:30	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:30	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:30	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Billa	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Barka	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	Surat	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	Mahuver	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:15	Ghogha	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Guhagar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:30	Bhagva	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 16:00	Asarsa	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.