Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Jul 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 116 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 117 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Jul 2020 18:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 18:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 18:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 23:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 00:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Austwell United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 San Pedro United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Wilmington United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Signal Hill United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Surfside United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Seal Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 20:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 The Muirlands United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Azure Vista United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Mission Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Roseville United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Loma Portal United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 San Diego United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Coronado United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Boal United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Rincon United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Shepards United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Punta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Faria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Dulah United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Ventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 18:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Goleta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Mission United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Montecito United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Summerland United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Erendria Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Newport Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Bay Shores United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Balboa United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Top of the World United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 South Laguna United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Malibu United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Monte Nido United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Castellammare United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Santa Monica United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Sawtelle United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Alsace United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 El Segundo United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Arguello United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Honda United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Tangair United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Surf United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 23:00 Narlon United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Clifton United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Estes United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Fulton United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:45 Lamar United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Sycamore United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Solromar United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 18:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 San Clemente United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 El Nido United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Agra United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Stuart United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Oceanside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Carlsbad United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Ponto United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Leucadia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Encinitas United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 20:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:45 Two Harbors United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 La Jolla United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Solana Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Del Mar United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Easter Cross United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:30 Sorrento United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 22:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link