Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Jul 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 151 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico227 
50-100 mmMexico1958249 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 533 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 05:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 02:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Novillero Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 03:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 00:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 North Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Doyle United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Portland United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Gregory United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link