Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (26 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	83 km/h	0.5 m	69 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 340 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran	337,367	+
	Afghanistan	61,158
	Iran	276,208

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,734,912
100-250 mm	India, Myanmar	73,879,241	+
	India	72,122,213
	Myanmar	1,757,027
50-100 mm	Nepal, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, China, Bangladesh, Thailand	162,466,035	+
	Nepal	4,030,712
	Bhutan	159
	India	128,424,999
	Myanmar	8,272,616
	China	11,074
	Bangladesh	21,649,336
	Thailand	77,136

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	139	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Thailand, Myanmar
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	438	75.6 million				-	-	-	Nepal, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, China, Bangladesh, Thailand

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Dasah, United Arab Emirates. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Bideipur	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hukitala	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Satabhaya	India	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Chandipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Umm Said	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Gangra	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kakdwip	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Belpukur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kulpi	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Namkhana	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Damathat	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Budin	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Donwun	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:45	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Pahel	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Supati	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 08:45	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:45	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 10:30	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Dublat	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:15	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Digha	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ramnagar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:45	Jatar Deul	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 08:00	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Baruva	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:45	Khindan	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Sarod	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Abu az Zuluf	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Madinat ash Shamal	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Darein	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Wadgam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ghizlan	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	'Arad	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Ghariyah	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	'Ayn Sinan	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:00	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Paung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Nuliasahi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Nuagan	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Qalali	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Thegondan	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Thaunggon	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Kyauktan	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Mibya	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Kala-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Ase-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:30	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Naupada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Gopalpur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Chatrapur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Canjam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Puri	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Balighai	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ammalapadu	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Munaing	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Kawpamagon	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:15	Paluru	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Nuralrevu	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:15	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:30	Konarak	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Rakah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 06:00	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 09:45	Ar Rams	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 11:30	Malud	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 07:15	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.