Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
29 Jan 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (29 Jan 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.8 m 158 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius42,703 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmTanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia6,278,494
+
Tanzania262,966 
Malawi5,746,971 
Mozambique231,778 
Zambia36,778 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 440 -
- - - - - Tanzania, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Manambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 03:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antseranana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ananalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:45 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andriana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Savana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambodiadabo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Androlavy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:15 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:15 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:15 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:15 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 03:15 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Sarahanonoy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:30 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Antunes Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Metula Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Dzamandzar Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:45 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:30 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 02:15 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:15 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 01:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 00:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1