Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

01 Nov 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (02 Nov 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.6 m	232 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	31 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
16	31 Oct 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	01 Nov 2019 00:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Yemen, Somalia	67,355	+
	Yemen	15,963
	Somalia	51,392

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	590	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	665	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	232	1 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Ethiopia, Somalia
14	30 Oct 2019 12:00	332	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
15	31 Oct 2019 00:00	592	1 thousand		-		-	-	-	India, Ethiopia
16	31 Oct 2019 12:00	251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	01 Nov 2019 00:00	689	-		-	-	-	-	-	Yemen, Somalia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Wadgam	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kambhat	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kavi	India	0.6
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Asarsa	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Harinagar	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Dahej	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Tankari	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Muler	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Ghogha	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Hansot	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Bhagva	India	0.5
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Kotada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Damka	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Surat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Jalalpur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Mahuver	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mahuva	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Rohisa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Uran	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Trombay	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Diva	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Taloje	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Daman	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Udvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Maroli	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Umbargam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Delvada	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Bordi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Tarapur	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Gholvad	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Malyan	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Boisar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Kodinar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 13:00	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Palghar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Mahim	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Veraval	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Malad	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 02:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 02:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Mumbai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Murud	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Gorser	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mandve	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 07:30	Shil	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Alibag	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 08:15	Adodar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Porbandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Bankot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:15	Lamba	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:15	Miyani	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 12:15	Bhogat	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 19:45	Madhi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:00	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 20:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Sika	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Shirali	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 21:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Boria	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:15	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:15	Majali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Achra	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Malvan	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 22:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Adiura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Pural	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 04:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 13:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:15	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 04:00	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 04:00	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 18:00	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 10:00	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 10:00	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Bekal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Cal Marthal	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 19:45	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Khormaksar	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 00:30	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Ceelaayo	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:15	Bender Siyaada	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 05:30	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Billa	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 11:00	Murayjat	Oman	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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