Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

29 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (29 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	194 km/h	0.2 m	313 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	50,039

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 1.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Maldives	1,728,084	+
	India	1,712,616
	Maldives	15,468
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	7,327,384	+
	India	7,316,673
	Maldives	10,711

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	1224	1.7 million			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Suthri, India. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Okha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Sika	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Ratia	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Asarsa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Gorser	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Ghogha	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Harinagar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Dahej	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Tankari	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Muler	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Shil	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Mangrol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Chorwad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Kundapura	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Billa	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Hansot	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Veraval	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Somnath	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Delvada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Damka	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Surat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Mahuver	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.