Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22
in Madagascar
29 Jan 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mauritius
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (29 Jan 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 126 km/h 0.9 m 187 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 216 km/h 1.2 m 889 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius1,032,370 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 158 -
- - - - - Mauritius
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

889 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMalawi, Zambia, Mozambique3,592,408
+
Malawi3,293,771 
Zambia47,794 
Mozambique250,843 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jan 2022 00:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Jan 2022 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Jan 2022 12:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Jan 2022 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Jan 2022 00:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Jan 2022 06:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Jan 2022 12:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Jan 2022 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 Jan 2022 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Jan 2022 06:00 131 -
- - - - - Mozambique
Blue 11 29 Jan 2022 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Jan 2022 18:00 408 -
- - - - - Malawi, Zambia, Mozambique




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 29 Jan 2022 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Voloina Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Manambia Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.9
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Benjana Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.8
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Tampolo Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.7
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.6
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.5
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Ambanhe Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Ampara Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Manica Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mandrony Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Anompaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mahitsihazo Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Bevoay Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Maromandia Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Metambanhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Antunes Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Chamba Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Beira Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 21:45 Nhangau Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 21:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 21:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 23:30 Tama Mozambique  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 22:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 19:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Behavoa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Befamata Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Metula Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 19:15 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Onara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Zavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Lavanono Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 22:15 Manambato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Mucojo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Foque Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Ambaliha Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambohimena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ambolikapika Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:30 Gueima Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambalanosy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Miquindane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Lurio Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ombauine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 22:45 Vatobe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Bevoalavo Est Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Arire Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:15 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Catine Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:15 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Maniroka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Baly Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:15 Tataho Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:15 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 23:15 Loharano Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 18:30 Barra Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 20:45 Induna Mozambique  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Manakalana Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.1
29 Jan 2022 21:15 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1