Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

29 Oct 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	187 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (29 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	187 km/h	0.2 m	252 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	65,846

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 390 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	393,161
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	11,034,639	+
	India	11,008,460
	Maldives	26,179

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	1334	390 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 08:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Wadgam	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Kambhat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Kavi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Okha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Madhi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Sika	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 10:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Jambura	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:00	Lamba	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:00	Miyani	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Tuna	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:30	Porbandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:15	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:45	Adodar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:45	Ratia	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Edakkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Mahe	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Payyoli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Quilandi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Gorser	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Beypore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:00	Murud	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Filim	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Shil	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Shirali	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Veraval	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Somnath	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Mangrol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Chorwad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Kodinar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Cannanore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:45	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:30	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:30	Sib	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:30	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Billa	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:45	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:30	Sharkh	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.