Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (28 Sep 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	58 km/h	0.7 m	117 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Sep 2021 18:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
12	27 Sep 2021 00:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
13	27 Sep 2021 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
14	27 Sep 2021 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Sep 2021 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Sep 2021 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	15,758
100-250 mm	India, Bangladesh	73,973,975	+
	India	73,942,990
	Bangladesh	30,984
50-100 mm	Nepal, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh	113,878,786	+
	Nepal	476,853
	India	100,149,697
	Pakistan	103,430
	Bangladesh	13,148,804

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	139	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Thailand, Myanmar
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	156	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar, Thailand
11	26 Sep 2021 18:00	160	1.1 million			-	-	-	-	India, Myanmar
12	27 Sep 2021 00:00	143	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Thailand, Myanmar
13	27 Sep 2021 06:00	55	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
14	27 Sep 2021 12:00	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Sep 2021 18:00	85	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
16	28 Sep 2021 00:00	286	74 million				-	-	-	Nepal, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Dakshin Char Fasson, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2021 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.7
	28 Sep 2021 01:45	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:45	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.6
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 03:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:45	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.5
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 02:15	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 04:00	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 05:45	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 05:45	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.4
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:15	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 01:00	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 05:30	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.3
	28 Sep 2021 04:45	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 05:15	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 04:00	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 04:00	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 04:15	Napura	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 04:00	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 04:00	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Kalarmarchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Uttar Nalbila	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Amavasyakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Saflapur	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Dineshpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Bethua	Bangladesh	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Coxs Bazar	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Ghatibhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:45	Asarsa	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Botkhaneh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bibi Khatun	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Qa Eh Dir	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dorud	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Mal Konzeh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:45	Harinagar	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Khurushkul	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Fasiakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Kangan	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Banak	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Tonbak	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 05:15	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Akhtar	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Kelatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bandar-e Tahari	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Poozeh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Asaluyeh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Nay Band	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Al Khawwari	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:30	Manifah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Khawr	Qatar	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:45	Ghogha	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Hadakan	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Gheverzeh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bariku	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dakhira	Qatar	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Kabgan	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Buol Kheyr	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bonju	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Rustami	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Heleylah	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:30	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 05:45	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Zeyarat	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bushehr	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bashi	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bandar-e Bostaneh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ras-e Halieh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:15	Dahej	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:15	Tankari	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 04:15	Muler	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Dehriz	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 05:30	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Umm Said	Qatar	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Madumari	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 00:30	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 00:30	Nausari	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 00:30	Dharasana	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 00:30	Valsad	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 00:30	Bilimora	India	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Jazireh Khark	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Jezireh-ye Abbasak	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bandar-e Magam	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Delvar	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 05:45	Khargun	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 05:45	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ramleh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Khalifeh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Ganaveh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Bandar-e Rig	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Jalireh	Iran	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Pechardwip	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 03:45	Fulchhari	Bangladesh	0.1
	28 Sep 2021 06:00	Hendarabi	Iran	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.