Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

29 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (29 Oct 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	158 km/h	0.2 m	187 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	65,846

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Maldives	37,274	+
	India	36,395
	Maldives	879
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	1,634,671	+
	India	1,609,371
	Maldives	25,300

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	612	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 19:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Masnaah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Billa	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Murayjat	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	Yiti	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 22:15	As Sifah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Manumah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Sib	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Mawalis	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Okha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Hundegal	Somalia	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:30	Barka	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:30	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 21:45	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Sika	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Edakkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Mahe	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Badagara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Payyoli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:30	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Cannanore	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:15	Mundra	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Porbandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Adodar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 22:45	Ratia	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 23:15	Miyani	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Madayi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 18:45	Kannapuram	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.