Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

30 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	173 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	173 km/h	0.2 m	236 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	65,827

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,276
100-250 mm	India	58,336
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	1,925,233	+
	India	1,923,552
	Maldives	1,681

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	378	60 thousand				-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Oct 2019 02:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Billa	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	Yiti	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	As Sifah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Gadechi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Okha	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:30	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:15	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:15	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:00	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 00:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:30	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:30	Sib	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:30	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Chopdem	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Anjuna	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Marmagao	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Panaji	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Agacaim	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Bhadia	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.