Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 149 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

205 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia52,063 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia32,818 
50-100 mmIndia7,739,007 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 290 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 250 30 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 03:30 Asarsa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Asumumbay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Uran India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Trombay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Diva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Taloje India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:15 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:15 Tankari India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:15 Muler India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 08:15 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Surat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Mahuver India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Hansot India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Mahim India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Bhagva India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Gholvad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Malyan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Mandve India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Belekeri India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Karwar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Manki India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Chittadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Kumta India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Revadanda India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Kundapura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 18:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Chorwad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Mangrol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Kelshi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Majali India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Khalil Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Khadra' Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 04:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 04:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 04:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Advota India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Chaudi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Udipi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Shil India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Anjanwel India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Mulki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Agacaim India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Boria India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Madgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Gorser India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Malvan India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Ratia India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Devgarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Achra India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Edakkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Mahe India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Badagara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Payyoli India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Pural India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Adodar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Kozhikode India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Beypore India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Masnaah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Murayjat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Cannanore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Chaliyam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Kumbla India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Manumah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Mawalis Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:30 As Sifah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Suthri India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 17:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 17:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Barka Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Tanur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Okha India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Aramda India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Mandvi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Madayipara India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Lamba India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Miyani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Chervattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Bhadia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Bhogat India  0.1