Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

31 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	108 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	108 km/h	0.4 m	66 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	1,276

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
27	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
28	31 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	236	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
27	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	31 Oct 2019 12:00	219	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Wadgam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:15	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Asarsa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Harinagar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Dahej	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Tankari	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Muler	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:30	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Hansot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Uran	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Trombay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Diva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:15	Taloje	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Bhagva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Surat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Mahuver	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 01:15	Kotada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Rohisa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Agashi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Dongri	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Vasai	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Palghar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mahim	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Boisar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Delvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Daman	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Udvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Malyan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Maroli	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Murud	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Gholvad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Umbargam	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Bordi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Honavar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Manki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Mavalli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Shirali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mandve	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Gokarn	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Ratia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Gorser	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 06:30	Mangrol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Majali	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:45	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 06:00	Shil	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:00	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 07:45	Bhogat	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Sika	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 22:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 07:45	Madhi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 19:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 09:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 08:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Devgarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Achra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Pural	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Adiura	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:00	Mulki	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:00	Kumbla	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 10:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:30	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:30	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:00	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:15	Bekal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.