Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 89 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

205 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 25 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 26 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 27 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 28 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 29 31 Oct 2019 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 290 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 24 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 26 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 27 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 31 Oct 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 18:15 Asarsa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Tankari India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Muler India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 17:30 Hansot India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 04:15 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Uran India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Trombay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Diva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Taloje India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 17:00 Bhagva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Surat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Jalalpur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Mahuver India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:30 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Mahim India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Boisar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Rohisa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Malyan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:15 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Gholvad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:15 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:45 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Mandve India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Suthri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Ankola India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Gorser India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Revadanda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:45 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:45 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 08:00 Porbandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Majali India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Mandvi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Kumta India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Manki India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:15 Bhadia India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:15 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:15 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:15 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:15 Navinal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 16:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Sika India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Anjuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Bhogat India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Vengurla India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:45 Madhi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Bankot India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Guhagar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Udipi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Boria India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Malvan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Lakba Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Pural India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 18:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 18:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Ratnagiri India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Purangad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Purnagad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Achra India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:15 Adiura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Khalil Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Khadra' Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:30 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Mulki India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1